Recently saw a deleted thread titled “ChatGP can’t roast” and it got me thinking.
We all know that to make a good cup of coffee, it can take many years of experience to become good at. this is because of the many variables that make up the flavor chemicals that are present in a cup of coffee.
A.i. has never been a viable option for roasting in the past, and part of the reason was how expensive data is. You would not be able to employ all of the necessary people in all of the places around the world to use the same machine….
However with tech today, you can actually get people to pay for the roaster, and give you all the roasting data for free. Sort of the tech industry approach to customers, where you make the customer pay for the product, and you use the customer as a data stream to then again repackage and sell. The off shoot challenge is getting much dirtier data, as no one has to fill in all the data parameters to make it easy.
But can Ai make art? Can Ai make good flavors?
my assumption, base on what i am seeing in the music industry and visual art iterations, ChatGP, architecture, and so many other segments, that yes, Ai roasting will happen.
What will the fall out be? Chances are it will remove the need for majority of micro roasters that are on thin margins. So, if you do this for the fun, and profits are small, Ai could squeeze your margins even less. Because you’re not just competing with other hobbyists and professionals, you now will be competing with anyone who can afford a machine roaster. In the short term this will be great, as you’ll be able to expand with fewer employees, but in the long term, you are not as unique.
from what i’ve gathered in working in roasting and chatting with the individuals here, is that any number of roasts can be delicious.
With machine learning data collected at Aillio, they are now amassing thousands and thousands of hours of roast data from around the world. Not that the data is directly applicable to begin with, but once you get into the orders of magnitude greater data, then suddenly you have something that could be worked with. We’ve seem this play out in how ChatGP works, although that is a lot more data.
We are currently in a coffee renaissance, as more people than ever before are able to do it, and many even make a little money on the side, while others are able to turn it into a growing business. The talent pool for roasting, and the inter communication between roasters is at an all time high. Incentives are also currently rewarding for those who pursue it well. We are at a point where we can all learn and grow very quickly. But it takes sharing and talking and it takes data. Will we get to the point we want before Ai makes inroads into profit margins?
So, what are your thoughts on the future of micro roasting for a living? Can a bot roast well enough? Would you prefer to leave the roasting to ai? are you going to roast as a hobby even if there is not enough money to support a family? Or will coffee roasting always be a human operated thing? Too many variables for Ai to handle it well. Where are you optimistic and see opportunity in Ai?
Thanks for reading and interested to hear your thoughts!